May
2003
Don't miss this
month's timely story ideas, direct dial phone numbers, and E-mail
addresses of these accessible experts!
INVESTMENTS
AND WEALTH MANAGEMENT
• The
High Cost of Negative Volatility:
Why Swinging for the Fences Does Not Work Over Time!
• Carpe
Diem: Be Prepared to Sell When the Opportunity Arises:
The Offer and the Price May Not Be Repeated Tomorrow.
• The
Role of Real Estate in Portfolio Diversification.
PERSONAL
FINANCE
• So
You Don't Have Enough Money to Retire!
ESTATE
PLANNING
• As
Numbers of Unmarried Couples Increase, PridePlanners LLC™ Association
Addresses Their Unique Estate Planning Issues.
ELDER
CARE
• Prepare
for Contested LTC Claims.
PRACTICE
MANAGEMENT
• CPAs
Can Provide Employee Self Service
For their Small Business Clients.
• To
Build a Profitable, Sustainable Practice, Advisors Need Access
to the Qualified Plan Market.
INVESTMENTS
The High
Cost of Negative Volatility:
Why Swinging for the Fences Does Not Work Over Time!
Investors who have taken a beating in the market for the last
four years are tired of the emotional roller coaster as they watch
the market go through good days and bad days, often back to back.
The current volatility in the market is not only tough on the emotional
comfort zone, it is very costly financially if your investments have
lost value and you are waiting for them to recover.
When the stock
market goes back up, and it will, expect that it will take some
time to recover money that has been lost. If you lose 10%, you must
gain 11.11% to break even, a loss of 15% requires 17.65% to break
even, a loss of 20% requires 25% to break even. Think of it in terms
of dollars. If you begin with $100 and lose 20%, you are down to
$80. It would take a 25% gain on the remaining $80 to get you back
to $100. For frustrated "Buy and Hold" investors,
the first 25% of the next bull market will do nothing more than get them
back to where they were.
Historical studies show that buy and hold investors spend two thirds
of their time just working to get even, and one third actually making
money. For example, if you held an aggressive fund that could make
20% three out of four years, but you lose 20% in one year, your average
annual return drops to 8.6%, less than a fund that routinely only
returned 10% a year with no losses.
| Example |
Aggressive
Fund |
Moderate
Fund |
| Year 1 |
20% |
10% |
| Year 2 |
20% |
10% |
| Year 3 |
20% |
10% |
| Year 4 |
-20% |
10% |
| Average |
+8.6% |
+10% |
If you look
at compounded annual returns, volatility is even more costly. For
example, take two funds whose simple annual return is 10%, the
more volatile investment drops to 7.1% return because of the negative
effect of a 20% loss during one of the years no matter which year
that loss has occurred.
| Example |
Aggressive
Fund |
Moderate
Fund |
| Year 1 |
-20% |
+10% |
| Year 2 |
+10% |
+12% |
| Year 3 |
+40% |
+ 8% |
| Average
Annual |
+10% |
+10% |
Return
Growth of $100 |
$123 |
$133 |
Compounded
Annual Return |
7.1% |
10% |
What is the
result of $100 invested in a fund that has a 90% growth year followed
by a 60% loss?
| Year |
Growth |
End
Value |
| 1999 |
+90% |
$190 |
| 2000 |
-60% |
$76 |
This does not
produce a 30% gain, but really a 24% loss. ($100 – 24 = $76)
Cutting volatility and limiting losses is the key to investing success
in all types of markets.
PMFM, Inc. Principals are Tim
Chapman and Don Beasley, experienced investment advisors
with offices just outside Athens, Georgia. Jud Doherty,
CFA, manages the marketing and distribution of 401k Toolbox,
a service that provides discretionary management as part
of its advice product. PMFM provides money management
services for its own clients, for the assets held by plan participants
in their 401(k) plans, as well as for the clients of
other asset managers. At PMFM, 100% of employees' 401(k) plan
investments are managed in the firm's "growth" portfolio
in exactly the same manner as clients. The firm has
a lengthy history of good risk-adjusted performance,
and has preserved the value of client accounts over
the difficult last three years.
Tim Chapman, timchapman@pmfm.com, www.401ktoolbox.com,
800-222-7636.
Carpe Diem:
Be prepared to sell when the opportunity arises, because the offer
and the price may not come tomorrow.
Business owners
are often not prepared when an outside offer to purchase comes
into the company. Likewise, the offer price is never satisfactory
because the owner is invested so emotionally and financially in
the business that the tendency is to hang on for a better price.
Just as no investor can actually call the top of the market, no
business owner can be sure that a second offer will even be forthcoming
and certainly the owner cannot predict that the offer will come
at a better price. Delaying a sale because the owner does not like
the offer, sale price, or has "no identity" outside the
business, can have a devastating impact on the sale opportunity.
Nothing puts off investors more than ambivalence. A strong and
appropriate selling opportunity may not arrive when the owner is
ready or when poor health forces a sale.
Often, business owners have most, or all, of their capital tied
up in their business. One option is a partial sale that structures
significant owner participation for a specific period. The cash from
the partial sale can then be invested as an appropriate wealth diversification
strategy. One sale structure that achieves a gradual departure of
the owner is a leveraged Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) which
makes owners out of employees who then tend to be more committed
than average employees. The employee owners have purchased equity
in the business and will share in its profits going forward, protecting
their own retirements. Later, when the rest of the company is for
sale, it will be attractive to an outside investor who likes companies
with employee owners.
The message to the reluctant seller is to "Find something else to do with
your time," redeploy your capital, and avoid future business risk that
could reduce the value of the business. Interest rate changes, loss of market
because of increased competition and technological change are but a few of
the many business risks that an owner must consider when an offer to buy his
company is on the table and the owner isn't "prepared" to sell.
Owners need to deal with the emotions of selling far in advance
by developing an exit plan earlier than they would like. Opportunity
does not always come knocking, but when it does, a strategy for handling
an exit is essential.
Patrick J. Horan, CFP™, ChFC, is the
founder and managing partner of Horan & Associates Financial Advisors,
Ltd., providing asset management and financial planning for executives
and closely-held business owners through management of wealth accumulation
and wealth preservation with minimal tax consequences. Worth Magazine
recognized Horan & Associates in 2001 as one of the “Top
250 Financial Advisers in America” for the third consecutive
year. He can be reached at 800-592-7534 or path@horan-associates.com, www.horan-associates.com.
The Role of Real Estate
in Portfolio Diversification
Since the bull
market peaked in March 2000, investors have lost roughly $6.0 trillion
leaving us all feeling considerably poorer as the wealth effect
has evaporated. Though this feeling may be real, and undeniably
painful, is our sense of impoverishment justified??
Consider the following: over the past three years, the nation’s housing
stock has risen at an average annual rate of roughly 7.0% increasing by a total
of — you guessed it — $6.0 trillion. Thus, for many, wealth has
simply shifted, rather than evaporated, from stock portfolios back to that
old-fashioned asset that our parents relied upon to send us to college and,
ultimately, themselves to Florida. Consider also that while the stock market
has suffered a number of annual declines over the past 50 years, the nation’s
housing market has not experienced a down year since 1948.
All of which is not to say that it’s time to eschew stocks
and race headlong into real estate. Rather it is to remind us to
look at our residential real estate assets with fresh eyes and within
the context of a strategic, integrated wealth-building plan. What
has happened to housing prices in your neighborhood over the past
five years? How much equity has accrued in your primary residence
and how can you employ that equity to build wealth? Is purchasing a second
home or a rental property in a strong regional real estate market a smart
decision? Are you a baby boomer with a son or daughter on the way
to college or graduate school? Should you consider buying rather
than renting their living quarters?
These are vital questions to
ponder as you focus on the “now” location
of your wealth, appreciate anew the power of diversification, and re-evaluate
the role of real estate in your overall portfolio strategy.
Paula Chauncey, CFA, Managing Partner of Etre
llc, 617-716-0257, headquartered in Boston, MA, works with individuals,
and their closely held businesses, to develop and execute wealth-building
strategies. pchauncey@etrellc.com.
PERSONAL
FINANCE
So You Don't Have
Enough Money to Retire
There are other
things you can do if you haven't saved enough to retire. You can
choose to work longer than age 65. Some of you will have anyway,
because an entire cadre of Americans cannot retire on Social Security
until 66. (Do you remember those tax cuts several years ago. They
were made on the compromise that Social Security would be delayed
for those people born between 1943 and 1954.
Options include:
• The longer you delay taking Social Security Benefits, you will increase
your benefits when you do start to collect.
• You can look for part-time work in retirement.
According
to the American Association of Retired Persons (AARP), there is a
labor shortage projected due to the baby bust, so there will be jobs
available for individuals who may want to work. But the jobs available
may not be as rewarding financially as the one you hold now, so hang
on until your current employer makes you leave. Staying in your job
may not be what you had planned but it is a financially sound strategy,
particularly as your retirement assets in your 401(k) or profit sharing
plan can increase as long as you are employed and make contributions.
• You can lower your standard of living or,
• You can hope Uncle Fred does have a fortune stashed away
for you.
Save as much as you can during the years you remain employed.
Every little bit will help when you finally do retire. If you are
ten years out from retirement, you will need to save $15,000 a
year to reach a nest egg of $250,000. That figure zooms up to $60,400
a year to save an investment portfolio worth $1 million.
ESTATE
PLANNING
As Numbers of
Unmarried Couples Increase, PridePlanners LLC™ Association
Addresses Their Unique Estate Planning Issues
It was a normal
day until John was hit by a drunk driver on his way home and died.
His partner Joann, was the low earner of the two and had moved
in with John 15 years ago. They had been together, but unmarried,
and lived a very high net worth lifestyle. After John was killed,
it was found that his sister was listed as his only beneficiary
in a simple will drawn up using a format found in a book nearly
20 years ago. John and Joann had never done any of the financial
planning necessary to protect the house for her or provide support
should he die. John's sister sold the house, requiring Joann to
find a new place to live in the midst of her grief and job hunt
at the same time after a fifteen year break from the job market.
Because she had given up her low-earner job to accompany John on
business trips and to provide a corporate support system for him,
her lifestyle changed dramatically for the worse.
This hypothetical story rings true to the founding members of PridePlanners™ LLC
Association, an organization for financial advisors, CPAs, and attorneys who
wish to do a better job of representing their non-traditional (unmarried),
gay and lesbian clients. According to census data, in the twelve years from
1990 to 2002, unmarried couples living together has increased 72% representing
22 million Americans.
If John had updated his will, listing Joann as his beneficiary, this problem
could have been circumvented. Additionally, if John had drafted a trust,
the house (and other assets) could have been held in that trust, transferring
to Joann without the need for probate.
“Protections need to be put in place for unmarried people in long term
relationships,” says Sharon Rich, one of the founders of the PridePlanners™ Association.
The Association holds meetings and provides online discussion groups,
information archives, and book lists, to help planners better serve
their non-traditional clients. The association’s second
national conference June 13-14, 2003, Provincetown, Mass., visit www.prideplanners.com
ELDER CARE
Prepare for Contested
LTC Claims
Most of us buy
long-term care (LTC) insurance thinking that the policy will pay
when the care is needed. Some elders are finding that there may
be months or years between when you can no longer stay safely in
your own home and when the policy will finally pay.
This is a true story: "Maureen" had a good LTC policy
paid for by her five children. Her children noticed a marked decline
in her ability to take care of herself. She was unable to balance
her checkbook and was easily disoriented by simple things - like
the doorbell ringing. She complained to neighbors and called the
police to report that the man upstairs was making noise to drive
her crazy. When no one else heard the noise, she explained that
he had her unit bugged so that he was quiet when she had visitors.
She agreed to sell her co-op and move into an assisted living facility
in July 2003. Her children submitted a claim under her LTC insurance
policy, which covers assisted living. The insurer sent someone to
administer a basic cognitive test which she passed, according to
the insurer. Her claim was denied. Within two months, her physician,
a geriatric specialist who is also the director of neuropsychology
at a major hospital, completed a lengthy exam involving multiple
tests.
The diagnosis was cognitive impairment. The doctor wrote in "Maureen's" medical
record that it was not safe for her to be living independently. Her LTC
insurance policy allows 60 days to elapse before an appeal must be
answered. The appeal was denied, requiring another appeal, which
the insurance company also got 60 days to answer. As of April 2003,
the claim is still not being paid, and under appeal. No reason has
yet been given for the declinations.
This scenario brings up many
important issues about claims paying. But for now let's focus on
cash flow. Even assuming good faith on all sides, it's possible
to imagine that many seniors will pay for care during their elimination
period and during a drawn-out contested claims process. All insured
seniors must still have the ability to pay for many months of care
(in-home, assisted living, or nursing home) during a contested claim,
which may or may not be paid retroactively.
Forgetting the necessity of "gap" planning for the time period between
needing help and LTC claims payment may mean that some seniors end up on Medicaid
- even though they have a LTC insurance policy. Plan now for the assets that
will allow you to private pay during the gap period in your LTC coverage.
Marilee Driscoll is author of the only long
term care planning book to cover all the ways to pay for long-term
care, "The Complete Idiot's Guide to Long Term Care Planning" available
in bookstores and on Amazon.com now. The book has received enthusiastic
and numerous “must reads” from its reviewers. Driscoll
is President of the Long Term Care Learning Institute, Plymouth, Mass.,
speaks to national audiences (both consumer and financial services)
on retirement planning and long term care. She also provides technical
long term care training to financial advisors & accountants. 508-830-9975
or toll free at 866-MARILEE (866-627-4533), or md@LongTermCareLearning.com
PRACTICE
MANAGEMENT
CPAs Can Provide Employee
Self Service
For their Small Business Clients.
Employee
Self Service (ESS) Portals are the rage in large corporations.
The company web site sets aside an HR, Payroll, and Benefits section,
accessible by individual employee pin numbers. The goal is to lighten
the load of the Payroll Department for what the industry calls
the "what-if" questions that always seem to bog down
that department. Such questions as the following are common:
- "What
happens if I increase or decrease my exemptions for Federal and
state taxes?
- "What
happens to my taxes (pro and con) if I defer more money into
my 401(k) plan?"
- "Will
I actually see any of my raise after the taxes are taken out?"
A CPA’s
clients and their employees seek answers to the same questions.
Why not send them to the CPA’s web site for solutions. Such
questions can all be answered by payroll calculators that can be
customized for individual corporations OR for CPA firms who want
to offer these services to their small business customers. In a
small company, the HR/Payroll person may also be the entire Billing
Department and simplification and streamlining becomes a mission
critical issue.
For CPA firms to try to provide answers for small business HR and
Benefits questions would be difficult. However, a CPA firm can integrate
these calculators on their web site. Data shows that when a web site
has a payroll calculator available that it is the most visited page
on the site. It is also possible that the connection to the employees
through the CPA firm-provided calculators could lead to tax work
for individual employees.
PaycheckCity.com offers unequalled employee
self-service tools for paycheck management. The FREE PERSONALk FINANCE
CALCULATORS at this site are used by individuals and organizations
of every size to quickly and accurately answer paycheck-related questions
and to compute paychecks under a variety of circumstances. Over a million
page views take place each month on the PaycheckCity.com site and visitors
stay an average of 10 minutes each. It is the most visited site for
payroll-related support on the Internet. Contact Jon Bohnert, jon@paycheckcity.com,
480-596-1500 x. 103.
To Build a Profitable,
Sustainable Practice, Advisors Need Access to the Qualified Plan
Market.
Qualified assets
are the last, best strategy to build profitable, sustainable practice.
Jim Drury, President, BenefitStreet, San Ramon, California, says
that advisors should be asking themselves and others "Is there
a practical solution for working in the qualified plan segment
of the market?"
The reasons are obvious. An advisor can increase their assets under
management by two times the industry average if they begin to exploit
three simple opportunities: (i) Company retirement plans; (ii)
IRA rollovers from the executives and employees of those plans;
(iii) and the related planning opportunities that rollovers bring
to an advisor. 1. The money "sticks" to the advisor.
Employee contributions automatically increase plan assets, creating
a recurring revenue stream for themselves that grows exponentially
every year. 2. An advisor with the goal of converting ten plans
a month and 120 plans a year, would have the discretionary income
to expand their firm and increase market share within a specific
geographic area. The advisor would have the resources required
to hire junior advisors creating "super advisor branch offices.
3. By prioritizing the process of closing accounts via a group
approach, the advisor increases asset growth two times faster than
the one-at-a-time traditional strategy for approaching high net
worth investors. 4. Qualified assets under management or long-term
money management, establishes a guaranteed asset succession because
that money holds its value in the sale of a business or its transition from
one advisor to another. Junior advisors can help create a positive succession
plan for the principals of the firm.
Low adoption of technology by advisors is the most obvious reason
why advisors do not have more assets under management, and certainly
why they don't have more clients.
BenefitStreet's Omnibus 401(k) Technology™ is
fundamentally different offering a streamlined, retirement plan
administration process, including prospecting, high volume conversion,
and enrollment, as well as performance and tax reporting. The BenefitStreet
technology makes communication seamless and easy between all essential
partners for all types and sizes of plans. To reach Jim Drury,
contact Luis Doffo, 925-328-4549, V.P. for Alliances at BenefitStreet,
luis_doffo@benefitstreet.com.
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