June
2004
Don't miss this
month's timely story ideas, direct dial phone numbers, and E-mail
addresses of these accessible experts!
INVESTMENTS
AND WEALTH MANAGEMENT
• Pay
Attention to the Cost of Volatility.
• How
Consumers Can Comfortably Afford Expensive Homes and Build Greater
Wealth at the Same Time.
• Take
Advantage of Summer Doldrums to Strengthen Portfolio Returns.
PERSONAL
FINANCE/RETIREMENT
• Retirement
Reality: Start Saving and Incrementally Increase Your Savings to
Prepare for Retirement.
• Reagan’s
Long Journey: A Wake Up Call for All Americans.
• The
Dilemma of Long Distance Elder Care.
• How
to Protect Yourself from the Growing Crisis of Identity Theft..
PRACTICE
MANAGEMENT
• More
Banks Agree: It is Important for Bank Investment Representatives
to Convert to Fee-Based Business.
• Media:
Sign Up for Free Subscription to In-Depth, Financial Education
Resources.
INVESTMENTS
AND WEALTH MANAGEMENT
Pay Attention
to the Cost of Volatility
Market volatility
has an emotional cost. It causes investors to make irrational decisions
that are usually based on either fear or greed. Volatility also
carries a steeper financial cost than most investors realize. Consider
the two investments below in Table 1. The boring investment never
hits a home run, but never strikes out either. The exciting investment
takes our breath away in both directions, during times when the
market moves ahead and when it drops.
| Table 1 |
Boring |
Exciting |
| Year 1 |
12% |
40% |
| Year 2 |
10% |
10% |
| Year 3 |
8% |
-20% |
| Simple
Av. |
10% |
10% |
Notice how the
numbers for both investments work out to a simple annual return
for 10%,but please pay attention: Even though the investor taking
the volatile ride was able to brag about a 40% up year, at the
end of the three year period, the other investor has more money!
How can that be. Look at the compounded returns in Table 2 below.
| Table 2 |
|
|
|
|
| $100 to
start |
Boring
Investment |
Account
Value |
Exciting
Investment |
Account
Value |
| Year 1 |
12% |
$112 |
40% |
$140 |
| Year 2 |
10% |
$123 |
10% |
$154 |
| Year 3 |
8% |
$133 |
-20% |
$123 |
You are in trouble
when your investment strategy is great for markets going up, but
offers no protection when it goes down. Realize also how tough
it is to resist the urge to chase returns. Blind pursuit of a “big
year” can destroy a retirement portfolio. Bragging about
short-term returns to your friends will never be as important as
creating long-term wealth so you can live in a comfortable retirement.
PMFM,
Inc. principals are Tim Chapman and Don Beasley,
near Athens, Georgia. Jud Doherty, CFA, manages the marketing
and distribution of 401k Toolbox, a service that provides discretionary
management as part of its advice product. PMFM, Inc., has
nearly $1 billion in assets under management, and has been
named 2004 Advice Provider of the Year by Defined Contribution
News, a national trade publication covering the defined contribution
industry. 401kToolbox won over Schwab and Financial Engines. The
firm provides tactical asset allocation money management services
for its own clients, for assets held by 401(k) plan participants,
and for other asset managers' clients. PMFM has a lengthy history
of good risk-adjusted performance, preserving the value of
client accounts in uncertain markets. Tim Chapman, 800-222-7636, timchapman@pmfm.com, www.401ktoolbox.com
How
Consumers Can Comfortably Afford Expensive Homes
and Build Greater Wealth at the Same Time
Financing strategies
are the key to affording expensive real estate. One of these strategies
is the interest-only adjustable rate mortgage (ARM). In fact, a
consumer can buy or build a $675,000 home with an interest-only
ARM (even if the interest rate steadily increases over the next
5 years) vs. a $455,000 home with a traditional 30-year mortgage.
Not only can
the client afford to buy or build a home that is 50% more expensive,
but they will also build more equity while making interest only
payments on the more expensive home using a 3% rate of home appreciation
vs. making traditional principal payments on the less expensive
home using the same 3% rate of home appreciation. (For a hypothetical
chart illustrating this concept, e-mail beth_chapman@inkair.com,
with "Build Equity" in subject line.)
This strategy
enables the client to comfortably afford a home that is 50% more
expensive by focusing on their monthly payment comfort zone and
the impact of rising rates on this comfort level.
Home buyers
and home owners should reject the impulse to focus their attention
on shopping for the lowest rate on a 30-year mortgage. Instead,
consumers would be better served by shopping for a very knowledgeable
and qualified mortgage planner who is plugged into the mortgage
and financial markets and can effectively address their monthly
payment comfort level and the impact of rising rates on this comfort
level
Interest-only
ARMs will gain greater market share vs. the traditional 30 and
15 yr mortgages as consumers recognize the viability of interest-only
mortgages as a tool to enable them to comfortably afford the home
of their dreams. We must remember that it was only 15 years ago
when leasing a car vs. owning a car seemed like an outrageous idea
to most drivers. Today, the situation is totally reversed as many
Americans question the wisdom of buying a car outright vs. leasing
their cars. Mortgage lenders are making parallels between drivers
of the past and homeowners of the present, and are banking on the
assumption that interest-only ARMs will be the “next big
thing” for home owners and buyers.
To illustrate
this parallel, leasing a car allows a driver to participate in
the benefits of driving an expensive car without the upfront cash
and high monthly payments. Furthermore, if the driver is a business
owner and the car is used for business purposes, the lease payments
are typically tax deductible. Likewise, interest-only ARMs allow
homeowners to participate in the benefits of owning an expensive
home - the use and enjoyment of the home as well as the home appreciation
- without a hefty down payment and high monthly payments. Furthermore,
the full monthly payment is, in many cases, tax deductible as home
mortgage interest.
Gibran
Nicholas is the President and founder of Nicholas & Co.
Mortgage Planning Solutions, a full service mortgage lender
and broker in Ann Arbor, MI. Phone: 888-608-9800 Email: Gibran@NicholasCity.com Web
Site: NicholasCity.com
Take
Advantage of Summer Doldrums to Strengthen Portfolio Returns
It’s summer
again and, the hand-off in Iraq and Alan Greenspan’s June
rate hike notwithstanding, the market is settling into its seasonal
doldrums. Combine lower-than-average trading volumes, prices that
move in a reasonably narrow range, and a host of players exiting
to the Hamptons, and you’ve got the perfect recipe for sleepwalking
through your portfolio for the summer months. Right? Wrong! Here’s
how to take advantage of the Memorial-through-Labor Day market
ennui to strengthen your portfolio:
- Repeat the
fee exercise (see August 2003 Trends) and evaluate your portfolio’s
performance through 2004’s first half relative to the fees
you paid to generate that performance. The financial press has
had many reports of hidden (and onerous) fees on products ranging
from separately managed accounts to states’ 529 plans.
Revisit the products in your portfolio and know what they are
costing you in real dollars.
- Consider
whether steps should be taken to safeguard or lock-in selected
gains in your portfolio. Perhaps you are sitting with an investment
that has doubled or tripled in value over the past 12-24 months.
What is your advisor’s plan for locking in a
portion of these extraordinary gains? Or will they be allowed
to diminish over time through benign neglect …
- Revisit your
portfolio strategy and convince yourself, or ask your financial
advisor to convince you, that it is the right one for the rising
interest rate environment that has emerged. With five meetings
between now and year-end, the Fed has ample time and opportunity
to take rates from the current 40-plus year low to a destination
25-250-plus basis points higher. How will your portfolio fare?
- Finally,
in the face of the latest investment scam involving a Harvard
University-backed fundraiser who bilked investors, and sophisticated
ones at that, out of $13.8 million, know thy advisor. Prepare
a report card on your advisor, principally for your own discovery.
Who is this individual who holds your money? What are his or
her educational credentials, years of investment experience,
track record during up and down markets, and perhaps, most importantly,
willingness to be questioned and challenged by you - the client
whose assets make his or her continued employment possible.
That’s
the recipe for investors who want no grass growing under their
feet during the market’s summer recess.
Paula
Chauncey, CFA, Managing Partner, être llc, 617-716-0257
works with individuals, and their closely held businesses,
to develop and execute wealth-building strategies.pchauncey@etrellc.com.
PERSONAL
FINANCE/RETIREMENT
Retirement
Reality: Start Saving and Incrementally Increase Your Savings
to Prepare for Retirement.
Investment advice
and asset allocation will not support you in retirement unless
you save more every year you are employed. Saving more with each
year of employment, in fact, using birthdates or raises as triggers
for increasing your contribution to your 401(k) plan, is essential
if you plan on a comfortable retirement. Studies show that most
employees want to save, but just do not begin. Commonly used "gap
analysis" calculators can help employees figure out how far
they are from a secure retirement. For many, it seems, the projected
total required for a "satisfactory" retirement is so
unrealistic as to be overwhelming.
Saving for
retirement is a war of increments. How much you save is important,
but the first, most important step is to start saving .
At a certain point, employees see their savings build up in their
401(k) plan accounts and become engaged in managing their assets.
This happens at different levels for different people. Only when
employees becomes engaged in managing their savings will they likely
use available education materials and planning tools.
The more you
save by deferring salary to your 401(k) plan, the greater the tax
savings to your bottom line. Begin with whatever deferral amount
you can manage and determine to increase that amount periodically.
Only by saving more and investing wisely will employees stay on
the path to a secure retirement.
ABN AMRO
Asset Management has a "Smart Portfolio" option
for 401(k) plan participants who want assistance with how to
invest their savings. ABN AMRO Asset Management an enviable
and long history in investment management in the U.S. since
1887. Formerly known as Chicago Trust, ABN AMRO Retirement
Services has managed retirement assets since 1947 and has been
active in the defined contribution business for 21 years.
Mark
Metz, Director, Sales & Marketing, Retirement Plan
Services Group, ABN AMRO - 312-884-2578. Mark.Metz@abnamroUSA.com
Reagan’s
Long Journey: A Wake Up Call for All Americans.
President Reagan’s
death after a 10 year battle with Alzheimer’s disease is
notable for many reasons. The former president had a healthy active
lifestyle which included golf, horseback riding, ranch work and
swimming. When in 1994 he announced that he was ill, he looked
like the picture of health. It was hard to reconcile this robust
man with the slow, degenerative death Alzheimer’s brings
to millions of victims.
As Reagan wrote
in a letter to his fellow Americans dated November 5, 1994… “Unfortunately,
as Alzheimer’s disease progresses, the family often bears
a heavy burden. I only wish there was some way I could spare Nancy
from this painful experience.” Only 11 years earlier, Reagan
decreed November National Alzheimer’s Disease Month.
Alzheimer’s
and other types of cognitive impairment are the leading cause of
needing long-term care. Insurance companies report that about half
of long-term care insurance claimants suffer from cognitive impairment.
The burden on family members when any type of long-term care is
needed can be tremendous. And this burden is multifaceted: emotional,
physical, and financial because most long-term care is not covered
by Medicare or other health insurance. Ronald Reagan was able to
stay in his own home until the day he died. That’s the life
that most of us would want, if faced with a debilitating illness
and need for long-term care. However, many Americans who live in
nursing homes end up there for one reason: they could not afford
to bring the level of care needed into their own home.
All Americans
should take this opportunity to consider their own long-term care
plan, and how to pay for this plan. It’s clear that the government
has no intention of providing a plan that will pay for long-term
care, in the same way that Medicare pays retiree medical expenses.
It’s also clear that saving for long term care expenses is
difficult, even assuming a good rate of return. Furthermore, relying
on Medicaid to fund long term care needs would require spending
down assets and giving up choice.
In response
to concerns about funding future care costs, Congress passed The
Long-Term Care Security Act of 2000. This act created a voluntary,
payroll-deduction long-term care insurance program for Federal
employees, annuitants, and other members of the Federal family,
such as spouses and surviving spouses. More than 200,000 persons
are now enrolled, including many members and former members of
Congress.
If you are among
the approximately 20 million people eligible for the Federal LTC
Program, go to www.LTCFEDS.com now
(or call 1-800-582-3337) and look into this coverage. If you are
not eligible for the Federal Program, call your insurance agent
and find out if LTC insurance makes sense for you.
Marilee
Driscoll, President, Long Term Care Learning Institute, (508)
641-9393, Plymouth, Mass., www.ltc123.com,
author of "The Complete Idiot's Guide to Long Term Care
Planning," is the nation's leading consumer authority
on strategies to pay for long term care. She is President of
the Long Term Care Learning Institute.
The
Dilemma of Long Distance Elder Care.
When your elder person lives very far away, there
are really only two options if you choose to take responsibility
to care for them at the end of their life: move to them, or move
the elderly person to you. The financial impact of either option
is huge.
If you move
to care for an elderly person, you may have to resign your job
or retire. Are you prepared for those financial realities? Will
your entire family move? Are you prepared for the costs of separate
living accommodations and travel expenses for the duration of the
elder care period if the husband and wife both do not move?
If you move
the elderly person to your home, here is a list of issue you will
face:
- Who will
provide the elderly person's expenses?
- Will you
need to renovate to safely accommodate an elderly person's accessibility
to and in your home?
- Will you
have the time to manage their medical care?
- Will the
time issues impact your current job and family life?
- Will you
be able to replace your elder's previous social community in
any way?
- Will your
home and climate be comfortable for your elder?
Many people
are facing the necessity for making decisions about how much or
how little elder care they can or will provide to relatives. Before
you make any decision, talk to your financial advisor. Money may
certainly not be the determining factor, but it certainly allows
a decision to be made with more awareness of its likely financial
impact.
Debra
Neiman, CFP®, Neiman & Associates Financial Services,
LLC., Watertown, Mass., provides financial planning and investment
management services individuals and families, both traditional
and non-traditional. 617-744-1816 deb@neimanonline.com.
How
to Protect Yourself from the Growing Crisis of Identity Theft.
Identity theft
is experiencing explosive growth. Sophisticated thieves acquire
your personal information, and use it to access your accounts or
to set up new ones in your name. This information is readily available,
or easily stolen from unsecured mail boxes. Your credit rating
can be destroyed quickly. Actual losses are seldom recoverable
and often pale in comparison to the hassle factor. Fraudulent requests
to have you verify e-mail addresses and passwords for Internet
shopping may make it impossible for you to shop online. Stolen
drivers licenses may implicate you in accidents you did not have.
The average victim of a stolen credit card will see about $17,000
in excessive charges, with red flags on a credit report that must
be corrected.
The U.S. Postal
Inspection Service recommends that consumers do the following at
a minimum:
• Secure
your mail by obtaining and installing a secure mailbox (if your
mail is not put through a slot in a locked house or garage door),
or re-route your mail to a P.O. Box.
•. Use a paper shredder for all personal documents before throwing them
away. Pay particular attention to how carefully you destroy pre-approved junk
credit card mail or blank checks from your credit card company. To stop pre-approved
credit offers coming to your home, call 1-888-5OPTOUT.
• Remove yourself from marketing lists by contacting the Mail Preference
Section, Direct Marketing Association, P.O. Box 9008, Farmingdale, N.Y. 11735
or call 212-768-7277, or go to http://www.dmaconsumerhelp.org).
• Regularly check your credit report at one of the three major credit agencies:
1. TransUnion 800-888-4213 (www.tuc.com)
2. Experian 888-EXPERIAN (www.experian.com)
3. Equifax 800-685-1111 (www.equifax.com)
These are "must do," but relatively simple steps. Identity theft
does happen to people just like you. Take responsibility for your own protection.
Donald
W. Nicholson, Donald W. Nicholson & Associates,
Ltd., Wilmington, Delaware, is a fee-based financial planning
firm serving the retirement and wealth management needs of
professionals and business owners for almost 30 years. His
son, Donald W. Nicholson, Jr., is a partner in the business.
Contact them at 302-529-1500. E-mail dwnicholson@unitedplanners.com -- http://www.nicholson-associates.com.
PRACTICE
MANAGEMENT
More
Banks Agree: It is Important for Bank Reps
to Convert to Fee-Based Business
Managed account
assets under management are growing and these accounts are gaining
the trust of both the investor and the bank investment representative.
The landscape
has changed for investors. Commission-based products are perceived
to be a conflict of interest. One in four investors do not trust
a financial advisor and eighty percent of investors cite commissions
and loads as the reason for their lack of trust, according to the
Securities Industry Association.
The landscape
has changed for bank investment representatives. They recognize
the need to position themselves as consultants. Managed accounts
require that the bank representative provide periodic reviews of
the account for the client. These face-to-face meetings create
relationships. The structure of managed accounts develops predictable
recurring income. Most mutual fund managed accounts are over $200,000 – nearly
four times the average mutual fund ticket, and most managed accounts
are long-term money, with investments “sticking” for
at least ten years, according to a study by Cerulli Associates..
In addition, managed accounts allow the advisor to access well-known
mutual funds for their clients with no transaction cost. Account
consolidation is likely, resulting in a larger amount of a client’s
assets being rolled into a managed account.
Long-term relationships
build referrals, the key source of new clients for most bank representatives.
As American workers face their retirement realities, they are seeking
the help of an investment consultant. In turn, investment consultants
are increasing services that they hope to offer. The top five investment
services that consultants want to provide their clients include
charitable giving consulting, elder care consulting, trust and
estate planning, business planning and private banking, says a
Cerulli report.
Managed accounts
allow bank representatives to leverage existing client relationships
and align their own interests with those of their clients. Satisfied
bank customers who consolidate their investments in managed accounts
boost the profit margin at a bank. It is a win/win for banks to
convert to fee-based business.
To reach Ron
Mastrogiovanni, FundQuest, Boston, call Sarah Anderson at 617-526-7391.
FundQuest is the leading provider of customized Web-based managed
account platforms for financial institutions interested in
moving their representatives from commission-based to fee-based
product sales. Sarah_Anderson@fundquest.com.
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