August
2003
Don't miss this
month's timely story ideas, direct dial phone numbers, and E-mail
addresses of these accessible experts!
INVESTMENTS
AND WEALTH MANAGEMENT
• It’s
Time to Change at Least 50% of Your Long-Term Bond Allocation.
• Portfolio
Losses Are NOT Inevitable for All Investors.
• Spend
Down Principal To Meet Income Needs
in a Low Interest Rate, Low Yield Environment.
• Where's
Waldo? Finding Your True Portfolio Costs
PERSONAL
FINANCE/TAXES
• Pay
Attention to Your Most Important Financial Tool –
Your Paycheck.
• Divorce
Can Really Mess Up Retirement Planning.
• Retirement
Timing Will Be Significantly Impacted by Your Debt Load
ELDER
CARE
• Financial
and Logistical Ways To Avoid a Nursing Home
PRACTICE
MANAGEMENT
• ALERT
from FOREFIELD, INC. -- States React to Phase Out of Federal Estate
Tax Credit for State Death Taxes Paid.
INVESTMENTS
AND WEALTH MANAGEMENT
It’s
Time to Change at Least 50% of Your Long-Term Bond Allocation.
Long-term bonds,
particularly treasury securities, have very little upside potential
lfeft after several years of strong returns. Cashing out makes
tactical sense for several reasons.
- The yield
investors are currently receiving for holding these longer-term
securities is small compared with the potential risk of falling
bond prices from even a small increase in interest rates.
- Longer-term
bonds are much more susceptible to changes in interest rates;
any significant increase in rates will punish holders of long-term
bonds more than holders of shorter-term bonds. Interest rates
are still near historic lows and the potential for further significant
rate reductions is relatively small.
As a result
of the market changes, investors should consider this the appropriate
time to take their gains off the table, making portfolios less
susceptible to a rising interest rate environment going forward.
To
reach Tim Clift, Chief Investment Officer, FundQuest, Boston,
call Joanna Flynn at 617-526-7307. FundQuest is the leading
provider of customized Web-based managed account platforms
for financial institutions interested in moving their representatives
from commission-based to fee-based product sales.
Portfolio
Losses Are NOT Inevitable for All Investors.
It is time to
look carefully for alternatives to the “conventional wisdom” that
keeps investors in the market subject to a “fixed” level
of risk when the market’s very volatility is likely to guarantee
significant losses. Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) requires investors
to comprehend the losses they can stand, because at some point,
investors adhering strictly to MPT will realize those losses. Individual
investment objectives are important, but not nearly as important
as Modern Portfolio advocates would have investors believe. Since
the advent of Modern Portfolio Theory, tens of millions of investors,
including professional money managers and retail investors, have
accepted that this is the only "correct" way to invest,
and that the inevitable roller coaster ride from a relatively constant
asset allocation mix is acceptable. It is not.
In reality,
most investors cannot tolerate the high volatility of the stock
market and prefer an approach that adapts as market conditions
evolve. The most important objective for all investors should be
the balance between safety and return. Could anyone argue that
today's stock market is entirely different from the market five
or even ten yeras ago? Most investors probably do not understand
that Modern Portfolio "Theory" is just that -- a theory
-- developed over 50 years ago, and that it can be put into serious
question by a strategy designed to adapt to the current conditions
of the stock market. No one uses physicians who are diagnosing
clients with theories 50-years old. Money management should be
no different.
There are times
when investors should be fully invested in stocks, and times when
they should be entirely out of the stock market. There are times
a conservative investor should be fully invested in stocks, and
times a growth investor should be completely out of the stock market.
Everyone dislikes losses, not just investors near or in retirement.
PMFM,
Inc. Principals are Tim Chapman and Don Beasley, with offices
just outside Athens, Georgia. Jud Doherty, CFA, manages the marketing
and distribution of 401k Toolbox, a service that provides discretionary
management as part of its advice product. PMFM provides money
management services for its own clients, for the assets held
by plan participants in their 401(k) plans, as well as for the
clients of other asset managers. At PMFM, 100% of employees'
401(k) plan investments are managed in the firm's "growth" portfolio
in exactly the same manner as clients. The firm has a lengthy
history of good risk-adjusted performance, and has preserved
the value of client accounts over the difficult last three years.
Tim Chapman, timchapman@pmfm.com, www.401ktoolbox.com,
800-222-7636.
Spend
Down Principal To Meet Income Needs
in a Low Interest Rate, Low Yield Environment.
Never rely on
interest rates for retirement income. Bonds can work, but they
may not generate needed returns in this interest rate environment,
nor protect against declining bond values. The far better strategy
is to create a cash reserve that will cover expected expenses for
the first three-to-five years of retirement. Deliberately draw
this fund down to zero over this period and invest the rest of
the retirement assets (the majority of the portfolio) in a long-term,
high quality equity portfolio. This strategy serves retirees well
in four ways:
- Federal tax
rates for dividends and capital gains are 15% through 2008 -
while bond interest and regular interest are taxed as ordinary
income rates where the top rate is now 35%.
- Spending
down principal almost eliminates tax (except for interest earned
on the set aside assets which will not amount to much taxable
interest because of low current interest rates).
- If historical
data holds true - equities tend to do very well for a few years
after an extended bear market such as has been experienced recently.
Typical expansionary periods average 3-5 years.
- Don't fight
the Fed - The Federal Reserve Bank is trying to stimulate investment
in stocks and the economy - look carefully at the tax reforms
recently announced and all the rate cuts implemented.
More conservative
investors can set aside a larger amount of assets in the sinking
fund to be spent down over a longer period of time ( 5-7 years),
and the rest of their assets can be invested in asset classes other
than all stock portfolios.
Consider using a money manager to implement and manage an equity portfolio.
A value manager may limit downside risk while capturing excessive returns in
the next bull market by using an intrinsic value approach based on high free
cash flow, investing in attractive stocks that are out-of-favor for the moment.
Patrick
J. Horan, CFP™, ChFC, is the founder and managing partner
of Horan & Associates Financial Advisors, Ltd., providing
asset management and financial planning for executives and
closely-held business owners through management of wealth accumulation
and wealth preservation with minimal tax consequences. Worth
Magazine recognized Horan & Associates in 2001 as one of
the “Top 250 Financial Advisers in America” for
the third consecutive year. He can be reached at 800-592-7534
or path@horan-associates.com, www.horan-associates.com.
Where's Waldo?
Finding Your True Portfolio Costs.
It’s the
dog days of August and the market has gone on standby as many participants
embark on long-awaited summer vacations. Rather than watching the
market, and your portfolio returns, “to and fro” in
a narrow trading range, why not turn your attention to the other
side of the return equation — portfolio costs? Here’s
a fun exercise for the lazy, hazy days of August.
Step 1: Dig
out your year-end 2002 portfolio statement, the one in which your
brokerage firm summarized all activity in the portfolio for the
preceding 12 months. Cull from the statement the following expense
items: 1) Portfolio advisory fee (i.e., the fee you paid your broker
for selecting investments and otherwise overseeing your portfolio);
2) Mutual fund loads or sales charges (i.e., the further fee you
paid your broker for selecting portfolio investments) 3) Mutual
fund management fees (i.e., the fees you paid to the manager of
the mutual funds selected by your broker for your portfolio) 4)
Transaction fees (i.e., the fees you paid to your broker when he
or she elected to buy or sell an asset in your portfolio).
Step 2:
Compare the total of items 1)-4) with your portfolio’s total
return, the increase or decrease in portfolio value generated by
the investments selected by your broker. Using the return on your
portfolio, determine the number of months or, in some cases regrettably,
years required to “earn” back the costs levied on your
portfolio in 2002. (Note: we haven’t even raised the tax
costs associated with high turnover mutual fund management strategies.)
Step 3: Determine
whether the costs of your current portfolio management strategy
outstrip the returns generated by that strategy. Revise course
accordingly!
Paula
Chauncey, CFA, Managing Partner, être llc, 617-716-0257
works with individuals, and their closely held businesses,
to develop and execute wealth-building strategies. pchauncey@etrellc.com.
PERSONAL
RETIREMENT/TAXES
Pay Attention
to Your Most Important Financial Tool – Your Paycheck.
The most ignored
personal finance tool -- your paycheck -- is the focus of National
Payroll Week, September 1-5, 2003. Nearly every working American
receives a paycheck but few ever focus on how to maximize their
take-home pay and manage their withholding deductions.
Payroll professionals
from the American Payroll Association suggest several strategies
to boost the power of your paycheck. These include:
- Adjusting
your withholding to meet your immediate and long term needs
Life and salary changes affect your tax liability. If you anticipate a change
in your family status or increased income as the result of a promotion or
bonus, or decreased income as a result of a voluntary salary decreased for
a part time work schedule, your tax liability will change as well. Proper
planning and changes in withholding are needed to ensure that tax liability
is met appropriately.
- Participating
in voluntary savings programs and retirement plans. There are
significant tax benefits for participating in a retirement or
401(k) plan.
- Taking advantage
of your company cafeteria plan. . These programs allow you to
pay for medical and dental insurance, needed child care, or group
life insurance with pre-tax dollars, saving you income taxes
on necessary expenses.
Adjusting withholding
appropriate to your financial goals is important. Too much payroll
tax withholding provides an interest-free loan to the government.
Most financial advisors advocate using your salary for your financial
and investing needs when you earn it, rather than making an unintentional
interest-free loan to the government.
If you withhold
too little of your paycheck, you will find yourself paying Uncle
Sam extra money when you file your tax return on April 15. A change
in marital status or the number or tax status of your children
may also warrant adjusting your withholding.
The best way
for you to maximize your net pay and figure out the ideal mix of
withholdings and deductions is to use the free paycheck calculators
at http://www.paycheckcity.com/netpaycalc/netpaycalculator.asp.
Here you can model "what-if" scenarios with your paycheck
numbers, adjust your withholding, see the impact of voluntary savings
programs and retirement plans, note the tax advantage of cafeteria
benefit plans, and see in advance what will happen if you make
a charitable or other voluntary withholding option. The PaycheckCity.com
calculators allow you to manage your paycheck and a healthy financial
future by allowing you to access precise and accurate information
If adjustments to your withholding are indicated, simply print
a report and discuss the changes with your payroll department.
PaycheckCity.com offers
unequalled employee self-service tools for paycheck management.
The FREE PERSONALk FINANCE CALCULATORS at this site are used
by individuals and organizations of every size to quickly and
accurately answer paycheck-related questions and to compute paychecks
under a variety of circumstances. Over a million page views take
place each month on the PaycheckCity.com site
and visitors stay an average of 10 minutes each. It is the most
visited site for payroll-related support on the Internet. Contact
Jon Bohnert, jon@paycheckcity.com, 480-596-1500 x. 103.
Divorce
Can Really Mess Up Retirement Planning.
Divorces among
women over 50 are increasing. It is likely you were depending on
your husband’s retirement plan for your own golden years
security. If your husband will be eligible for a pension from his
employer, and these funds accrued to him during the time of your
marriage, you have a right to part of that pension. Chances are
that your husband has more than one pension, 401(k) plan or IRA.
You may have to do some homework by contacting all of your husband’s
former employers. You will want to make certain that your attorney
understands the particular retirement plans and account numbers
your husband has or for which he is eligible. Your divorce settlement
must refer to each individual retirement plan in order for you
to get benefits from them all.
You cannot
get your share of a pension plan without a court order to present
to the pension plan administrator at your husband’s place
of employment. This is called a Qualified Domestic Relations Order
(QDRO). Each retirement plan has its own set of rules about QDROs,
so have your attorney check with the plan administrator before
the QDRO is drafted to make certain it is valid. Because of the
additional legal work required, QDROs can be expensive. If you
are dividing multiple accounts with your husband, figure out the
total and consider taking the total of what is rightfully yours
from a single account, requiring only one QDRO and possibly saving
money and time.
Dee
Lee, Harvard Financial Educators, Harvard, Mass. 978-456-3778.
Educator and speaker, Dee has authored four books: “The
Complete Idiot’s Guide to 401(k) Plans”, Let’s
Talk Money”, Everywoman’s Money: Financial Freedom”,
and “The Complete Idiot’s Guide to Retiring Early”.
Retirement
Timing Will Be Significantly Impacted by Your Debt Load.
All of a sudden,
in a trend that can’t be ignored, Baby Boomer pre-retirees
are paying more attention to the role that debt can play in their
retirement timing. Clearly, Boomers are saying they “get
it” that significant debt can and will put off their ability
to choose a retirement date. This means coming to grips with debt
that includes mortgages, automobile payments, boat loans and other
large ticket luxury items, plus credit cards. Advisors counsel
that debts must be under control before you can project post-retirement
cash flow and budget. Financial advisors have seen debt recognition
begin in clients when they inquire about the “value” of
the interest deduction on a mortgage. Bottom line, the mortgage
interest rate deduction is a nice perk, but it has little value
when the pre-retirees want their finances to feel settled. Freedom
from debt and actually owning one’s home offers a sense of
security and is a great attraction to clients close to retirement.
Henry
I. Montgomery, CFP -- Planners Financial Services, Inc., 952-835-9000.
Minneapolis, Minnesota. Registered investment adviser and subsidiary
company Montgomery Investment Management, specialize in the management
of no-load mutual fund portfolios for individuals and retirement
plans designed to protect capital by reducing risk. pfshim@usinternet.com
ELDER
CARE
Financial
and Logistical Ways To Avoid a Nursing Home.
Most seniors
want to avoid ever living in a nursing home. But unless they have
done the serious financial and logistical planning necessary, the
nursing home is exactly where they will end up living. Here are
five realities to help you avoid nursing home care:
1. Plan a savings cushion to pay for the early help you'll need
to stay at home. Elders who can dress and bathe themselves may
need help with activities such as cooking, using the telephone,
paying bills, managing medications, cleaning, or shopping. Needing
help with these activities does not qualify for government or
long-term care insurance benefits. If cash is short, a reverse
mortgage can provide needed money for help at home.
2. Moving to an assisted living facility is almost
always a temporary destination. The average length of stay is approximately
two years. The next move, due to a decline in health, is the nursing
home.
3. Home-based care requires the right home. Make your home elder-friendly
while you are still working by improving accessibility now, or moving
into a home that will better suit elderly needs
4. Home-based care requires coordination and supervision. Protect
yourself against physical, emotional, or financial abuse by designating
an advocate. Home-based care does not work for frail elders with
no support network.
5. Paying for your care gives you more options. If you need professional
(paid) caregivers to assist you, you can pay with personal funds
or qualify for a government program. Paying privately gives you the
option to fire or replace an unsatisfactory home health aide when
you are not happy. Consumers who rely on government programs to pay
their bill usually find that nursing home care is covered, but home
care is not.
Long-term care insurance is a good, but not perfect,
private-pay option. Two negative trends: Government-subsidized
home health care is being cut back because of state and federal budget
deficits, and the shortage of qualified home health care workers
is acute. Pre-planning and understanding how the elder care system
works can make your choice of home care possible.
Marilee
Driscoll, President, Long Term Care Learning Institute, (508)
641-9393, Plymouth, Mass., www.ltc123.com,
author of “The Complete Idiot’s Guide to Long Term
Care Planning,” is the nation’s leading consumer
authority on strategies to pay for long term care. She is President
of the Long Term Care Learning Institute.
PRACTICE
MANAGEMENT
ALERT from
FOREFIELD, INC. -- States React to Phase Out of Federal Estate
Tax Credit for State Death Taxes Paid.
The Economic
Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001 phases out the
federal estate tax credit for state death taxes paid (the "state
death tax credit"). States that tie their own estate tax directly
to the federal credit face a reduction in estate tax revenue unless
they react. Not surprisingly, states have reacted. For a handy
summary of their decisions, see Forefield's Status of State Death
Taxes Summary at http://www.forefield.com/stateestate.
Jim
Walsh, Forefield, Inc., Westboro, Mass. jwalsh@forefield.com,
508-630-1125.
Forefield is the foremost provider of real-time sales, education, and presentation
solutions for financial institutions and their advisors. Forefield's web-based
solutions facilitate the communication of client-centric financial planning
knowledge and advice that is current, concise, and compliant. To sign up for
a 45-day free trial to FMA Advisor, go to http://www.forefield.com/trial.
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